tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 11:00 JFK → 13:54 LAX
    DL 767 · Delta · 5h 54m · 86% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:41 LAX → 19:15 PHX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 15mJFK 11:00 to PHX 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.