tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Boston via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 05:40 SFO → 13:13 DTW
    DL 772 · Delta · 4h 33m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:01 DTW → 16:10 BOS
    DL 1171 · Delta · 2h 09m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 30mSFO 05:40 to BOS 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.