tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Baltimore via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:40 SFO → 13:13 DTW
    DL 772 · Delta · 4h 33m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:09 DTW → 16:45 BWI
    DL 2480 · Delta · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 05mSFO 05:40 to BWI 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.