tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 05:40 SFO → 13:13 DTW
    DL 772 · Delta · 4h 33m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 DTW → 15:55 LGA
    DL 2602 · Delta · 1h 53m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 15mSFO 05:40 to LGA 15:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.