tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 79%

  1. 09:00 JFK → 12:00 LAX
    DL 773 · Delta · 6h 00m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:11 LAX → 15:11 SAN
    DL 4001 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 11mJFK 09:00 to SAN 15:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.