tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:41 LAS → 17:45 ATL
    DL 777 · Delta · 4h 00m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 47mLAS 10:41 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.