tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 36%

  1. 10:41 LAS → 17:45 ATL
    DL 777 · Delta · 4h 00m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 14mLAS 10:41 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.