tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 08:10 LAX → 15:41 ATL
    DL 782 · Delta · 4h 31m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:33 ATL → 18:41 BUF
    DL 2050 · Delta · 2h 08m · 75% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 31mLAX 08:10 to BUF 18:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.