tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Myrtle Beach via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:00 PHL → 21:44 ATL
    DL 794 · Delta · 2h 44m · 72% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 23:55 MYR
    DL 3074 · Delta · 1h 19m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 59mPHL 19:00 to MYR 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.