tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:22 PHX → 20:15 ATL
    DL 796 · Delta · 3h 54m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:13 XNA
    DL 5130 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 51mPHX 13:22 to XNA 22:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.