tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:22 PHX → 20:15 ATL
    DL 796 · Delta · 3h 54m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:06 ATL → 22:52 PIT
    DL 2583 · Delta · 1h 46m · 76% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 30mPHX 13:22 to PIT 22:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.