tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 13:22 PHX → 20:15 ATL
    DL 796 · Delta · 3h 54m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 06mPHX 13:22 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.