tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 08:40 SEA → 16:33 ATL
    DL 797 · Delta · 4h 53m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:24 ATL → 18:54 RDU
    DL 1097 · Delta · 1h 30m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 14mSEA 08:40 to RDU 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.