tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kansas City via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:40 SEA → 16:33 ATL
    DL 797 · Delta · 4h 53m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ATL → 18:56 MCI
    DL 1470 · Delta · 2h 11m · 77% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 16mSEA 08:40 to MCI 18:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.