Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 28%

  1. 08:40 SEA → 16:33 ATL
    DL 797 · Delta · 4h 53m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 ATL → 18:42 ORD
    DL 2879 · Delta · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip8h 02mSEA 08:40 to ORD 18:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.