tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:52 BWI → 13:41 ATL
    DL 801 · Delta · 1h 49m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip10h 14mBWI 11:52 to SNA 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.