Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Los Angeles → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 48%
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11:45 LAX → 19:09 DTWDL 802 · Delta · 4h 24m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled
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56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:05 DTW → 21:00 MSPDL 1303 · Delta · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled
Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 15mLAX 11:45 to MSP 21:00, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.