tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:45 LAX → 19:09 DTW
    DL 802 · Delta · 4h 24m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DTW → 23:58 BUF
    DL 978 · Delta · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 14mLAX 11:45 to BUF 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.