tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → White Plains via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:30 TPA → 11:10 DTW
    DL 808 · Delta · 2h 40m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:01 DTW → 15:49 HPN
    DL 4658 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 48m · 69% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 19mTPA 08:30 to HPN 15:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.