tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:30 TPA → 11:10 DTW
    DL 808 · Delta · 2h 40m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 25mTPA 08:30 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.