tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:30 TPA → 11:10 DTW
    DL 808 · Delta · 2h 40m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 DTW → 15:21 BUF
    DL 3642 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 51mTPA 08:30 to BUF 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.