tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Miami via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:10 SEA → 06:27 DTW
    DL 810 · Delta · 4h 17m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:22 DTW → 12:30 MIA +1 day
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 08m · 86% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 20mSEA 23:10 to MIA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.