tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:30 SEA → 12:40 DTW
    DL 812 · Delta · 4h 10m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 DTW → 17:44 RDU
    DL 1407 · Delta · 1h 45m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 14mSEA 05:30 to RDU 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.