tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:55 SEA
    DL 814 · Delta · 4h 55m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:06 SEA → 13:55 SNA
    AS 1357 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 85% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 55mDTW 06:00 to SNA 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.