tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 11:42 MEM → 14:02 ATL
    DL 82 · Delta · 1h 20m · 90% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ATL → 17:40 MCO
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 40m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 58mMEM 11:42 to MCO 17:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.