tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:42 MEM → 14:02 ATL
    DL 82 · Delta · 1h 20m · 90% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 18:53 PHX
    DL 836 · Delta · 3h 59m · 73% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 16mMEM 11:42 to PHX 18:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.