tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Omaha via New York: arrives on time 18%

  1. 16:50 BNA → 20:11 LGA
    DL 822 · Delta · 2h 21m · 44% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 LGA → 23:35 OMA
    DL 4900 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 30m · 71% on time, 11.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (11.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 45mBNA 16:50 to OMA 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.