tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:15 DEN → 18:18 ATL
    DL 824 · Delta · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:06 ATL → 20:08 TYS
    DL 5203 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 56mDEN 13:15 to TYS 20:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.