tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Minneapolis via Austin: arrives on time 44%

  1. 11:04 SEA → 17:18 AUS
    DL 831 · Delta · 4h 14m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 AUS → 20:53 MSP
    DL 1042 · Delta · 2h 48m · 69% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 48mSEA 11:04 to MSP 20:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.