tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → New York via Washington: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:55 ATL → 19:48 DCA
    DL 832 · Delta · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 DCA → 21:59 LGA
    DL 5768 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 54% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 04mATL 17:55 to LGA 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.