tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:43 DEN → 21:54 ATL
    DL 840 · Delta · 3h 11m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 45mDEN 16:43 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.