tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Atlanta via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:31 MSN → 15:53 DTW
    DL 844 · Delta · 1h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 DTW → 21:44 ATL
    DL 2045 · Delta · 2h 09m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 177 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 13mMSN 13:31 to ATL 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.