tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:23 PIT → 12:36 MSP
    DL 845 · Delta · 2h 16m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:26 MSP → 15:05 ORD
    DL 1533 · Delta · 1h 39m · 71% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 42mPIT 11:23 to ORD 15:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.