tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Chicago via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:20 SFO → 16:14 SLC
    DL 849 · Delta · 1h 54m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 SLC → 21:29 ORD
    DL 2413 · Delta · 3h 12m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 13mSFO 13:20 to ORD 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.