tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Providence via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:25 DCA → 20:30 ATL
    DL 850 · Delta · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 ATL → 22:46 PVD
    DL 2064 · Delta · 2h 31m · 71% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 33mDCA 18:25 to PVD 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.