tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 18:25 DCA → 20:30 ATL
    DL 850 · Delta · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 ATL → 23:51 DAY
    DL 3167 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 29mDCA 18:25 to DAY 23:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.