tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 18:25 DCA → 20:30 ATL
    DL 850 · Delta · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:40 SFO +1 day
    DL 656 · Delta · 5h 00m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 15mDCA 18:25 to SFO 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.