tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:25 DCA → 20:30 ATL
    DL 850 · Delta · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:39 LAS
    DL 825 · Delta · 4h 19m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 14mDCA 18:25 to LAS 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.