tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 10:43 SEA
    DL 853 · Delta · 3h 43m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:53 PHX
    DL 2449 · Delta · 3h 08m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 53mANC 06:00 to PHX 14:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.