tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:30 LGA → 12:17 DFW
    DL 856 · Delta · 3h 47m · 82% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:10 DFW → 16:49 MEM
    AA 3678 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 84% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 19mLGA 09:30 to MEM 16:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.