tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 86%

  1. 00:33 LAS → 07:18 ATL
    DL 857 · Delta · 3h 45m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 20mLAS 00:33 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.