tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 00:33 LAS → 07:18 ATL
    DL 857 · Delta · 3h 45m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:12 ATL → 10:29 EWR
    DL 2397 · Delta · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 56mLAS 00:33 to EWR 10:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.