tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Bozeman via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 65%

  1. 18:29 JFK → 21:58 SLC
    DL 863 · Delta · 5h 29m · 75% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 SLC → 00:23 BZN +1 day
    DL 2046 · Delta · 1h 18m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 54mJFK 18:29 to BZN 00:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.