tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:50 LAS → 12:47 DTW
    DL 864 · Delta · 3h 57m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 37m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:24 DTW → 17:50 ATW
    DL 4166 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 74% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 232 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 37m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip10h 02mLAS 05:50 to ATW 17:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.