tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Austin via Miami: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:43 DTW → 18:04 MIA
    DL 866 · Delta · 3h 21m · 74% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 MIA → 21:11 AUS
    DL 2344 · Delta · 3h 06m · 68% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 28mDTW 14:43 to AUS 21:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.