tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:47 SEA → 17:26 ANC
    AS 660 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 21mMSP 09:05 to ANC 17:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.