tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:38 SEA → 16:09 MSO
    AS 697 · Alaska · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 04mMSP 09:05 to MSO 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.