tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 SEA → 16:15 ANC
    DL 928 · Delta · 3h 45m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 10mMSP 09:05 to ANC 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.