tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:11 SJC
    DL 3789 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 26m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 06mMSP 09:05 to SJC 14:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.