tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 SEA → 16:47 SMF
    DL 4153 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 42mMSP 09:05 to SMF 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.